The Paradox of Predictability

Abstract Scriven’s paradox of predictability arises from the combination two ideas: first, that everything in a deterministic universe is, principle, predictable; second, it is possible to create system falsifies any prediction made it. Recently, has been used by Rummens and Cuypers argue there fundamental difference between embedded external predictors; Ismael against governing conception laws. The present paper defends new diagnosis roots paradox. First, argued unpredictability be understood light Turing’s famous results about computability, particular his proof no solution ‘halting problem.’ This allows us see previous analyses were either mistaken or not fully adequate. Second, sense nevertheless remains traced idea rational behaviour dependent on contingent environmental circumstances: always up engage activities such as belief. teaches this idea, natural though may be, mistaken.